Caveats about polling | National Catholic Reporter

Caveats about polling | National Catholic Reporter by MSW. MGB: The Blue Wall still has 245 electoral votes behind it.  If Pennsylvania goes to Clinton, its all over.  Whether Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida are in play or not pretty much depends on whether the people paying for the poll want to show whether there is even an active election.  Fudging the number of white working class voters is an easy way to do that.  If you start off with the 2012 final electoral vote result and see what Trump can take away from Clinton, the general election looks less like a horse race.  How you sample women is also a way to make it look like we have an actual campaign going on.  Of course, the big event will be the debates.  If Trump continues to go stream of conciousness, he loses and the Democrats might breach the GOP's Red Wall of 145 sure electoral votes.  I suspect polling firms knew in 2012 how things were really going to go, but no one wants to predict that the campaign does not matter. It's not good for ratings.