Wednesday, October 7, 2020

Pro-life? Why the Trump campaign is collapsing

Pro-life? Why the Trump campaign is collapsing 

There is no Right to Life angle on this story. I have added a fourth possible position on this issue. You can Witness (wishy-washy/passive), try to ban abortion as infanticide, throw money and contraception at families (this is where you find the seamless garment), and the new one - pander about the issue - which combines Witness and threatening infanticide (but not mean it). Guess where Trump and the GOP are. SARS-CoV-2 is not part of the equation. If pro-life means everything, then it means nothing.

Trump will lose because he has spent the last 3 years in election, rather than governing mode. This includes his response to COVID-19, which may kill him too. He is not responsible for the spread however. The CDC is still looking for a 10 day transmission window. It's 20. If Trump had half a brain, he would have asked the right questions, or had staff who would (rather than worrying about his moods.

Nate is right, it is too early to forecast exact Electoral College numbers. The Friday before the election is the best time. Two people predicted the exact number in 2012. Nate was one of them, and I was the other. The key is to throw out the GOP related numbers. They lie. Rachel Bitecofer will also make the right call this year.


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