Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Can Trump win? | National Catholic Reporter

Can Trump win? | National Catholic Reporter by MSW. MGB: It's not that Trump can win this, it's that Hillary can lose it by beating herself. I think she learned her lesson in 2008, so this is not likely. There is unlikely to be an indictment unless it is of her webmaster - and that is not usually done except for a serious breach of security. Unless Jill Stein lowers Hillary's number in states she should win, which is higly unlikely, Hillary has the momentum.



The odds are that Trump will likely keep making gaffes until election day. He would have to have three gaffe free debates and that is more unlikely than Hillary having one gaffe.



There is a strain in conservative ideology that thinks government should be run like a business. This strain is why people want billionaires like Ross Perot, Michael Bloomberg or Mitt Romney. The problem is that the extreme example of this strain is Donald Trump. This desire has the whiff of authoritarianism - the ability to force things to be done without the usual politics. Again, Trump is the extreme example. Luckily, we have never actually seen this in practice. Ike was the closest as a military general (some of our 19th Century generals were abject failures) - and he had heart attacks, the job was so stressful for him. Of course, generals are used to the give and take of Congress and the bureaurcracy. Executives are not. That Trump is not is apparent with every time he opens his mouth. While anything is possible with an open microphone, I suspect that this will be a wipe out like Nixon in 72 or Reagan in 80.

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