Wednesday, March 6, 2019

Four years later, will Americans still 'feel the Bern'?

Four years later, will Americans still 'feel the Bern'?
I was writing about this just yesterday, in the Links column and on a DSA survey on endorsing Sanders.

Sanders is getting in because everyone else is, although because most candidates are smarter than the press, they know that they are auditioning to be the VP to Pelosi or Biden (who can be made Speaker as a non-member under Article I, Section 2, clause 5 of the Constitution).

If Pence was implicated by Flynn or others, he will have to resign. The sitting Speaker will be next in line. Pelosi could take the job and the number 46 and then resign in favor of a new Speaker or her appointed VP (as long as McConnell allows a vote).

Any Democratic candidate knows Trump's days are numbered. If Sanders had been willing to be VP, he would have in 2016. Unless Biden and Pelosi pass, Sanders will not likely be interim POTUS.

She could also pick Harris as either VP or Speaker, provided she does not plan to run. Pelosi and Harris are both from the Bay area, so California electors could not vote for her. Unless they are sure of 326 electoral votes, Harris cannot serve if Pelosi wants to remain in office.

Biden or Sanders must pick Harris as VP or they will see Kerry and Clinton turnout levels in the black community. If Pelosi does run in 2020 she has to pick Booker. She could also make him Speaker to be POTUS and he would have to pick Warren. Warren would have to pick Booker. While Booker could pick Gillibrand or Klobachar, I would rather he not.

In a world with Pence as POTUS, Sanders could run the table if Biden stays out, although Governor Inslee of Washington has good Green New Deal chops, as does Harris (whom Inslee would have to pick as VP).

I am sure MSW hates the thought of a demographic ticket, however Catholics got the same consideration previously (and still do).

Sanders is no Neocon when it comes to Palestinian rights (I doubt MSW likes that either). Frankly, I wish he were more Marxist than social democrat. This could have been a teachable moment.

Bernie is likely to go with welfare for the Millenials and Medicare for All at Medicaid prices. I have already written that this would ideally be funded by an employer-based subtraction value added tax. Any GND candidate must.

DSA's endorsement poll was an up and down vote on Bernie. This is where his volunteers went. Sadly, I have not heard that they have taken over party slots from precinct caucuses to state committees, which is a strategic error. This is another example of youthful exuberance.

I counseled waiting until the Trump situation develops further. If the Democrats ascend to power in the next few months, Sanders must opt out. He should have waited to announce.

If the GOP goes full MAGA into to the fringe, the Sanders volunteer army could fuel a DSA based major party, but it should be more than about him.

Current polls have Sanders, Harris, Warren and Booker combined beating the Clintonite field. It would be nice to see them (and Gov. Inslee) have a progressives only debate, but only if there is no Democratic incumbent.

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