MGB:_The meme is growing that Trump was in this to overturn all things Obama. It appears that Trump really believes all of the Birther nonsense, which shows his capacity to ignore evidence. He will lead us to a George W. Bush economy, which was and will be a disaster, although it will take some time for the effects to be felt. There has to be a bubble for it to burst. If regulation on NYMEX oil futures is abandoned, expect oil to be one of these. Bitcoin will be another.
Abortion and gay marriage are rights questions, not political ones. That should be the Democratic argument. The Dems should offer the GOP a congessional debate on using 14th Amendment enforcment power to change personhood from viability to assisted viabiliy, with the provisio that this would be infanticide and that legal penalties apply to the mother. Any attempt to have it be otherwise shows that the Right to Life movement is all hat, no cattle. They theoretically have the votes and a POTUS who would sign such a bill. Put up or shut up.
As for cakes, that issue will be decided by June, taking it out of electoral politics except as backlash. It is not about religion, it is about regulation of speech and commerce. A ruling for the free speech rights of Masterpiece hurts Republicans.
Trump’s personal issues are more important than the policy issues. Any online discussion shows that he has a hardcore base that thinks Russia money laundering is fake news and that his reactions are no crazier than their own, since they all watch FoxNews. Still, Trump cannot dodge a physical much longer and it will surely deal with his mental state. A bad oucome will not be easy to explain away. There are some Republican Senators who will vote for removal due to impeachment or disability, even if they still control the Senate. If they move against Trump this year, they Pence as President. If they wait, they get a Democratic Speaker of the House, which would be Pelosi, but could be Clinton, as non-members can serve as Speaker.
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