On (And Over) Wisconsin | National Catholic Reporter MSW. MGB: If Clinton had won, Sanders would have been done. She did not close the deal. He merely stays alive to fight another day. Now, if she loses New York, ties it or even wins by a small margin, there will be significant doubts on her ability to close the deal and Sanders can continue. If she wins big, its over. Sanders may go on a speaking tour of California, but the path to the nomination is closed. As for the General - any Democrat starts with 245 electoral votes in the bank, compared to the GOP sure bets of 145. Do the math. Winning Pennsylvania means its over on election night - and that will be called before 9 pm. The Democrats need to decide whether they want a democratic socialist, aka an FDR liberal (even with the non-sensicle red baiting - which did not work when Clinton's people were doing it) or whether they want a Clinton/GWB/Obama neo-conservative. Their decision will go for the nation. Are there enough people happy enough to stay the course? if so, Hillary wins. If not, Sanders should win - and I don't see Sanders voters crossing to Trump, but I do see Trump voters giving Sanders a try.
If Trump had won, Cruz would have been done. He did not close the deal, either. Of course, if Kasich suspends his campaign, and this is where he should, than this was a big win for Cruz. It would be even bigger if he were endorsed by Kasich and Rubio, who would then instruct their delegates to vote for him on the first ballot, as well as Romney (a lot of Trump delegates are really Rombots) and Paul, who would instruct their delegates to vote for him on the second and third ballot. That kind of keeps Ryan out of it and allows Cruz the possibility of winning fair and square. Anything less and Trump is the nominee or they go to a brokered nominee that cannot win.
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