Tuesday, February 2, 2016

The Iowa results: Clinton wins small, the GOP has a three-way race | National Catholic Reporter

The Iowa results: Clinton wins small, the GOP has a three-way race | National Catholic Reporter by MSW. MGB: Cruz won by pointing out the ugly truth that Donald Trump is pro-choice - and Trump did not flip-flop on this, much to his credit.  Still, pandering to the pro-life lobby works well in Iowa and the South and has some effect in New Hampshire, but there are a lot of Republicans who say they don't like abortion but won't do anything about it and none of them will be voting for Cruz.  Not sure they will be voting for Rubio either, who takes on those voters on the conservative side who don't think Cruz is a nice man.  He also tries to be the establishment guy.  Not sure he can make both work,.  Also not sure if one of the lesser candidates won't surprise us all in New Hampshire.  I am not sure why anyone would get out so soon after putting so much in.  Of course, if Thompson had gotten out before South Carolina in 2008, Huckabee might have been the nominee, winning SC and Florida.



Four county convention equivalents out of almost 1400 is not a loss.  It's a tie and it produces the same number of state delegates.  A loss by four is no less fatal for Sanders than a win by him is to Clinton in New Hampshire (or New York - actually, if HRC lost New York, she should hang it up).  Bernie won the right to fight for as long as the grass roots keep coming to hear him speak and work the polls for him on primary or caucus day - and that could be a long time.  I just mailed my voter registration to cancel out MSW's vote for Hillary about an hour ago.

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