Monday, February 22, 2016

Clinton & Trump Are on Their Way to the Nomination | National Catholic Reporter

Clinton & Trump Are on Their Way to the Nomination | National Catholic Reporter by MSW. MGB: President Dewey agrees with your analysis.



Super Tuesday is the next big test, Sanders is essentially ceding South Carolina.  He is fighting hard for Super Tuesday.  If he only wins Vermont, he's out.  If he wins more states than that and has good margins where he loses, the real test is New York.  Bernie was born there and Hillary was their Senator. It has constituencies both can relate to.  If Sanders wins, however, it will be seen as more of a crushing blow.  The betting window stays open until the Empire State's votes are counted.



On the GOP side, while I like Kasich, perhaps 2020 is his year.  Trump has a ceiling and I can't see him not finding it once Kasich leaves the race (Carson won't, but he won't be getting votes either and Cruz will run out of money).  This is probably Rubio's year - not that a Cubano helps that much with the Latino vote, although with Obama out of the race, trying for an ethnic first seems hollow for the GOP.  May money is still on Kasich.

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