Divided nation: Looking ahead to 2020 in US politics

Divided nation: Looking ahead to 2020 in US politics
Politics for most people is a spectator sport. It is only important to players, fans and the media who cover it. Indepents often don't watch it. Indeed, unless asked, most people ignore it. When the Senate is reminded if this, Trump will be gone. The rest of the GOP team do not like him. If faced with who pays GRUdy becomes the narrative, the game is over. No President will ever be convicted. He or she will resign first.

The perfect phone call was a cover for the true story. Treason. Trump never wanted to release the aid at all, but got caught. If election meddling is the issue, Trump wins. Most voters trust their local poll workers. As long as that is the case, meddling is not the issue. Getting Zelensky to make a statement that will only be seen by Fox News viewers has zero impact in 2020. Pruning election rolls mostly gets rid on non-voters. It has no electoral impact either.

If Trump is in the ballot, enough people hate him in the GOP to stay home and no one really likes Pence. As for Iowa and momentum, Amy is the most likely winner. Iowa Democratic caucus goers want to select a two-term President. Only Klobuchar is the right age. Her win will muddy the waters enough to keep the game alive. If Amy is team captain and puts Booker or Harris on the ticket, her side wins. If Trump quits, the GOP race is much more interesting.

A Midwestern candidate will neutralize Midwestern bishops. If Klobuchar wins Michigan and Ohio, she wins, especially if she ignores abortion. If June is decided narrowly, no one cares. If it is unanimous in favor of June, the pro-life movement may not survive. Such a clear signal ends the debate, especially if the Alabama case is never heard.

Most people have not seen larger paychecks and even GOP bosses will not grow them enough for a Trump win. Without Russia in the Olympics, China winning diving and Bailes setting more records are as predictable as a Trump loss. Most people won't turn it on because nothing will be live. The only way the Dems lose is by giving Biden his turn. That would be a 2020 redux. Of course, Pence getting his turn may give Biden the win anyway. Pence has no answer to the question of why he did not invoke the 25th Amendment.