Democratic candidates must fashion an 'off-ramp' for Trump voters
The press, including MSW, are suffering from a deficiency in imagination on the impact of a Trump resignation on 2020
E.J. Dionne is correct. Almost half of the Republican Party has left the building. They may return when Trump is gone, and maybe Pence too. Trump is an idiot. He believes that if Pence us implicated, he won't resign or be impeached.
Unless evidence shows Pence was not involved in Trump's Ukraine deal, he is out. If there is insufficient evidence to remove him, He will be the GOP candidate and do worse than McGovern. He has no good answer for not invoking the 25th Amendment.
If Pence is forced out, Nancy Pelosi adds 46 to her name. She won't run in 2020. If McConnell blocks her VP nominee, the Speaker who replaces her is next in line. Biden and Sanders have a 2024 problem.
If Biden becomes Speaker before Trump resigns, he is the nominee. If not, Warren will be. If Warren is made Speaker, and then President, everyone will be upset with Pelosi picking the winner for 2020 and the GOP members who left will come back and vote against her.
The Dems have an age problem with Pelosi, Biden and Sanders. Warren wins if Iowa likes her and she attacks the opposition on making Roe an issue rather than defending abortion. The Blue Wall is currently 278 and keeping pro-life Democrats from staying home keeps it intact. The key this time is turnout, not poaching Trump voters.
No comments:
Post a Comment