Tuesday, August 6, 2019

Links for 8/6/19

Links for 8/6/19
The tragedy is that, come election day, many do vote on the dark side anyway, especially if they believe, against all evidence, that we are one vote away from repealing Roe (rather than four). Abortion coverage is slanted because the media loves a horse race even when there is not one. Ignorance on the true state of the issue is how both sides raise money and why neither side tells the truth. Paywall on Times article. Not telling the truth on abortion or not sending Steyer to primary are the only ways Trump can win.

Post paywall on article. Peer review is mostly about tenure. To use it for more than that is laziness by editors. Sadly, even peer reviewed articles miss errors on inferences if the math is right or the author is well respected. A classic example is Down's theory of not voting. Down's puts in a population variable for the likelihood the individual will be the deciding vote without adding a variable about the perception that others will vote for her candidate and not the others. This is why essentially everyone votes in multi-party democracies. In a proportional environment, Trump could never lead a ruling coalition and abortion would be a fringe issue rather than a wedge.

Liz is correct, like any broken clock. If we never rule out a first strike, no other nuclear nation will go to conventional war with us nor we with them. That is the core of nuclear strategy. This is one of those things that peer review catches.

Gun control only requires buy-in by defense contractors. Stop doing business with arms merchants who do business with the public and few will and they can be managed. Without Scalia, no Second Amendment challenge is possible.

The money quote of the America article was that Barron is trying to evangelize Peterson. That is silly on its face. Also, Barron shares in the delusion that moral certitude, especially on avoiding Hell, can evangelize the Nones. It won't. Evangelization should teach that Christ on the cross experiences human brokenness on the Cross and that salvation through Him ends that apartness. Peer review would never allow this view to be published.

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