The Nominations: It's All Over But the Shouting | National Catholic Reporter by MSW. MGB: Sanders will keep going for a while, although in earned, rather than pledged delegates, he is closer than it looks. The Super Delegates were not only designed to stop some crank - they were designed to stop a non-Democrat from hijacking the party. Its a shame, because the party is in dire need of hijacking. I predict that if there is a floor fight on the GOP side that results in two or more factions runnning in the general, that Cllintonites will join the sane faction (maybe with a Clinton-Kasich unity ticket?) and Sanders will lead the progressive faction - maybe with the Greens. Of course, that's the future. Sanders voters will mostly go with Clinton in the Fall, though some will vote Jill Stein in the Green Party.
The fact is that in the GOP, no one like Trump or Cruz, which is why Kasich winning his home state was important. Kasich can't win on the first ballot, but maybe on the third. After the first ballot - and maybe before - candidates will encourage their delegates - who are now free - to join with another candidate. Regardless of who voted for Trump, his delegates likely have the usual mix of party regulars. After the first ballot, anything can happen and it is why Kasich has a legitimate chance as the establishment candidate. Its not the delegates walking out that is a concern, its the underlying voters that put them there. The only question is whether they would go to the Constitution Party or the Libertarian Party. I suspect the former.
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