https://www.ncronline.org/news/opinion/distinctly-catholic/midterm-elections-will-be-referendum-trump-not-kavanaugh
MGB: Supreme Court picks do not matter. The Garland incident did not put President Clinton into office. It had no impact at all. Neither will Kavanaugh on the mid-terms. The women who were fired up the Ford charges were fired up anyway. Indeed, if Dr. Ford was used by the Democrats to gin up support, it was wasted time by all for nothing but the solidarity of rape victims (although that is worthy in itself).
As for abortion and gay rights, Kav is probably the 8th justice supporting Roe, as both Trump appointees will follow with the Bush and Obama justices. If social issues were the only thing keeping Justice Ginsberg in office, she could retire in peace. Any new justice would be part of the 8. If Thomas retired or died, the number for Roe would be nine. These cases are now 9-0, not 5-4. As for the culture, it is not going anywhere. Indeed, Catholics will change their minds more the progressives. The only place 14th Amendment law can be changed in Congress and they would simply ratify the status quo, ending the issue forever.
If there were no more Kavanaugh or abortion stories, the silence would be golden. Dumping on the next Speaker is also a parlor game that has worn out its usefulness. It is merely code for wanting Roe overturned. Enough already. Local candidates will always hit local issues, regardless of what the leadership wants, unless, of course, donors are sensitive to the issues discussed. They likely will not be, knowing that in the end, they have bought the votes of even the most ardent progressive. The mid-terms are a definite lock. The only question is whether the GOP will lose big or lose small. To lose small, they can ask Trump to resign, although the lack of a Mueller report kills that possibility. If Mueller also implicates Pence and enough Senate Republicans go along, Speaker Pelosi will become President Pelosi. Even that prospect will not help Trump with any but his most ardent supporters. Many of the rally attendees are paid, so they are no barometer..
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