Friday, April 28, 2017

What 100 days means for US President Donald Trump

What 100 days means for US President Donald Trump: Distinctly Catholic: Congressional Republicans wonder how long they have to accomplish their objectives before the investigations into the Trump campaign's ties to Russia blow up, rendering serious legislative action unlikely.

MGB: We knew Trump was a rookie.  Sadly, he is not easy to fire and Pence would have to get the majority of the cabinet to go along with him to do so.  Pence should have had his people appointed, making this possible.  Sadly, he did not.  Trump's staff is worse than Trump, if that is possible.  My working theory is that no decent Republican staffers will work with him or the gang of fools he has surrounded himself with, so don't expect improvement any time soon.

The Democrats actually have the votes to stop action in the Senate, especially on tax cuts, which require a 60 vote point of order if they would result in revenue losses.  Sadly, the Trump staff is not really good with the rules.  Dick Durbin is, so nothing will pass without him.

Don't expect anything out of the White House nativists on immigration.  No reform is the best option with this crowd.

Obamacare is going nowhere and if it does fall apart and go to bankruptcy court, the court will give us single-payer.

Trump can try to undo Obama climate rules, but he will find that environmentalists have standing and all changes are subject to legal challenge.

The Joint Chiefs will only countenance so saber rattling, so don't expect war with North Korea, even if they have to go beyond the White House's back to the Chinese.

Trump will claim credit for Obama's economy, just as Obama got the blame for the week economy of Bush until 2012 (Obama kept the Bush tax cuts on the rich, which kept labor in check because they had the incentive to keep costs down.  Since Trump can't pass anything, the Obama tax increases on the rich will keep helping labor (higher rates would, of course, be better for workers).

Trump did get Gorsuch nominated and approved.  The great unsolved question is whether he will vote like Scalia or Kennedy, Roberts and Alito.  If the former, the pro-life movement still has a voice on the court for repealing Roe.  If the latter, the movement to repeal Roe is dead.

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